Confident but Often Wrong

by Brad Singletary, LCSW | Oct 4, 2023

Brad Singletary, LCSW

Brad Singletary, LCSW

Licensed Clinical Social Worker · Men's Coach

For 25+ years I've helped people build stronger character, healthier relationships, and lives they respect — through therapy, coaching, and writing.

We are often more confident than we are correct. Read that again slowly. Most people will agree with it in the abstract and then immediately exempt themselves from it in practice. That is the trap, and it is one of the most common traps I see men fall into in my work.

The Things You Have Already Changed Your Mind About

Think about the things you were certain about five years ago that you now know were wrong. Beliefs about people, about the world, about yourself. Things you would have defended hard that you now look back on with a mix of clarity and some embarrassment. Every single one of us has a list like that, and the list is longer than most people are comfortable admitting.

Here is the uncomfortable part: that same process, the one that revised your past certainties, still needs to be applied to your present ones. The things you are convinced of right now. The judgments you are carrying. The stories you have told yourself about why something is the way it is. Some of those are going to look very different in five more years. The question is whether you are willing to do the work now or wait until reality forces the revision on you in a harder way.

You are very likely believing things right now, about people, about the world, about yourself, that are simply not true. Most of what people call conviction is actually emotion wearing the costume of logic. You feel strongly about something, and because the intensity of the feeling is high, you treat it as settled truth. That is not discernment. That is just emotional momentum disguised as certainty.

Emotional Intelligence Starts With a Question

Real emotional intelligence asks the uncomfortable question: might I be wrong about this? Not as a rhetorical move but as a genuine inquiry. Philosopher C. Terry Warner put it this way: just asking that question seriously, even without answering it, is already a change of attitude.

That shift is significant. A man who can genuinely ask whether he is seeing something correctly is a man who is still capable of growth. He is also a man who is far less destructive in a relationship, in a conflict, and in a leadership role. Certainty without humility is a wrecking ball dressed up as confidence. I have seen it wreck marriages, friendships, and careers.

This does not mean you have no convictions. It means your convictions are alive, subject to reality, capable of updating when the evidence calls for it. That is not weakness. That is maturity. The strongest men I know are not the most certain. They are the most honest about what they do not yet know. That honesty is where real wisdom starts.